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Prediction markets
7 active markets
· category “Science”
How it works
How to trade
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
7%
chance
Yes
No
$125K
Vol.
Mar 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
46 trading now
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
December 31
47%
October 31
37%
2 more
$1.4K
Vol.
Jan 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$53
37 trading now
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 3 - August 9?
0
54%
Yes
No
1
28%
Yes
No
$1.1K
Vol.
Aug 10
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$46
42 trading now
How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?
170–199
38%
<40
37%
7 more
$533.71
Vol.
Sep 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$67
41 trading now
Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?
650-700mm
32%
<425mm
28%
8 more
$809.11
Vol.
Sep 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$78
34 trading now
FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?
71%
chance
Yes
No
$1.6K
Vol.
Dec 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$35
34 trading now
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
4%
chance
Yes
No
$578K
Vol.
Dec 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
48 trading now
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